WEEKLY WEALTH REPORT
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What is in store for the Indian markets in 2026? As the year 2025-marked by high volatility and single-digit returns for Sensex and Nifty-nears its 52-week high, brokerages and analysts are queuing up to come out with their predictions and expectations for the coming year?
Analysts and strategists from a host of foreign & Indian Brokerage houses are Bullish, while most of the listing the govt's policy support for the economy as one of key catalyst. GST Rate cut during Diwali and Income tax slab changes in last budget are two top favourable events for Stock Market, boosting
consumerism and spending.
In a Research Report, brokerage firm Morgan Stanley expects the Sensex index to gain 13% from current levels to each level of 95,000 until December 2026 with 50% probability.
For its bull case, Morgan Stanley has assigned a target of 1,07,000 for the Sensex, which implies a potential upside of 26% from current levels. The bull case scenario has a 30% probability of playing out, according to Morgan Stanley.
Morgan Stanley also mentioned that India's long-term story is gaining strength with the government policy action and a cyclical recovery backed by the policy pivot.
Here are some of the key portfolio themes that the brokerage is betting on sectors like Consumer Discretionary & Industrials, Financials Services. The brokerage is "overweight" on these sectors as there is a robust government capex and a pick-up in private capex.
The firm said the outcome assumes macro stability, stronger private investment, a positive gap between real growth and real rates, steady global conditions, and manageable oil prices. It also expects one more 25-basis- point rate cut in the current quarter, along with a supportive liquidity backdrop and no heavy bunching of new equity issuances.
On the downside, Morgan Stanley has a target of 76,000 for the Sensex for its bear case scenario. It said that most of the risks to their estimates are stemming from overseas and not domestically
Wealth is not built by catching tops and bottoms, but by staying invested through cycles.
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