WEEKLY WEALTH REPORT
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Markets rarely move on a single trigger. Instead, it is the combined effect of policy decisions that shapes investor confidence and long-term trends. At the current juncture, three key levers — the Union Budget, tariff signals, and monetary policy — appear to be aligning in a way that supports economic stability and market optimism.
Together, they form what can be called a “positive policy cocktail.”
Budget: Growth Without Losing Fiscal Discipline
The Government of India has pegged the fiscal deficit for FY 2026-27 at 4.3 % of GDP, a slight reduction from the 4.4 % estimate for FY 2025-26. This demonstrates a continued commitment to fiscal consolidation while balancing growth priorities.
The budget boosts public capex to ₹12.2 lakh crore for FY 2026-27 — the highest ever allocation, up from about ₹11.2 lakh crore in the previous year.
Sustainable Growth: 7.2% to 7.4% Real GDP growth and 10-12% CAGR earnings growth potential is a Strong Positive Tailwind.
Tariffs: Surprise & Stability Over Shock
US tariffs peaked in 2025 but are stabilizing in 2026, with deals like the US India interim agreement slashing rates from 50% to 18% on key Indian exports. This opens a $30 trillion market, boosting sectors like manufacturing and agriculture while easing inflation pressures from prior escalations. For Indian
wealth managers, this supports export-oriented portfolios amid reduced trade frictions.
Monetary Policy: Neutral Stance and Supportive
Monetary Policy reassured that the Real GDP growth is around 7.4% and Momentum intact via domestic demand, manufacturing, and services; trade deals (US, EU, UK) enhance exports and FDI, favoring mid/small-caps and export-oriented plays.
CPI projected at 4% (Q1 FY27) and 4.2% (Q2), below tolerance—anchors expectations, supports consumption stocks, and leaves room for future easing if needed
Stable Repo Rate at 5.25%: No hikes preserve borrowing costs for corporates, boosting rate-sensitive sectors like banking, real estate, and autos with sustained earnings visibility.
India continues to grow at a strong ~7% GDP rate, making it one of the fastest-growing major economies in the world. Such sustained economic growth eventually reflects in corporate earnings and equity market returns. Equities remain the best asset class for long-term wealth creation. Staying invested, following asset allocation, and continuing SIPs is far more powerful than reacting to temporary market noise.
WEEKLY MARKET PULSE
Indian markets jumped sharply on Tuesday following news of a U.S.– India trade deal and tariff relief, leading to strong gains in benchmark indices. The Sensex and Nifty rallied significantly as investor optimism returned.
By Friday, Indian indices ended the week with modest gains. The Nifty closed around 25,693 and the Sensex near 83,580, reflecting approximately +1.5% weekly growth amid mixed global cues.
Despite broader market rally, mid-cap and small-cap indices outperformed large caps.
Sectors such as defence, energy, and infrastructure saw relative strength during the week.
Indian rupee strengthened against the US dollar over the week, posting its best weekly gain in over three years despite some day-to-day volatility. Over the week, the USD/INR rate fell overall — meaning the rupee improved versus the dollar.
Both gold and silver saw significant volatility and ended the week lower after volatile trading and profit booking. Gold & Silver fell sharply from recent highs before retracing some losses later in the week.
On 3 Feb, after India-US trade deal headlines, key bellwethers such as Reliance and major financials contributed to one of the biggest single-day market rallies in nine months.
On 6 Feb, ITC delivered a noticeable weekly gain (~5 %) outperforming the broader market on that day.
PRODUCT OF THE WEEK
ICICI PRU MULTI ASSET FUND
Why to Invest in Multi Asset Fund?
An open ended scheme investing in Equity, Debt and Exchange Traded Commodity Derivatives/units of Gold ETFs/units of Silver ETFs/units of REITs & InvITs/Preference shares.
Investing in multi-asset allocation schemes helps to increase the diversification of your investment portfolio. Each of these asset classes has different investment objectives and might function differently across macroeconomic and microeconomic scenarios.
The commodity asset class serves as a buffer as it could prove to be relatively stable across market cycles. Therefore, it may seem like a smart investment decision to maximise your portfolio by adding multiasset allocation schemes to it.
THIS WEEK MY TOP SOCIAL MEDIA CONTENTS
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Rohit starts at 25. Nandhini starts at 30.
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Invests ₹24 lakh
Corpus: ~₹99 lakh
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Invests for 15 years
Invests ₹18 lakh
Corpus: ~₹50 lakh
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Rohit invested only ₹6 lakh more, but ended up with almost ₹49 lakh more.
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DISCLAIMER
Mutual Funds and Stock Market Investments are subject to market risks, pls read all scheme related documents carefully. Past performance of the mutual fund is not necessarily indicative for future performances. Mutual fund does not guarantee any returns or dividends.
This report is for informational purpose only and contains information, opinion, material obtained from reliable sources and every effort has been made to avoid errors and omissions and is not to be construed as an advice or an offer to act on views expressed therein or an offer to buy and/or sell any securities or related financial instruments, we shall not be responsible and/or liable to anyone for any direct or consequential use of the contents thereof. Reproduction of the contents of this report in any form or by any means are prohibited.