Escalating Israel & Iran News & 4 Other Triggers To Watch Out For Indian Stock Market?

Weekly Wealth Report Issue 197, Weekly Wealth Newsletter: 16th June 2025 – 23rd June 2025 (Weekly Wealth Newsletter and a Private Circulation from Creating Wealth Company)                                                                                Curated by Mr. Sathish Kumar Founder – Creating Wealth Company Crorepathi Creator | Financial Consultant | Author | Speaker | Columnist | Youtuber Phone – 9841058689   Mail – creatingwealthadvisory@gmail.com     Web – www.sathishspeaks.com Escalating Israel & Iran News and4 Other Triggers to watch out for Indian Stock Market? Download this NewsLetter as a PDF DOWNLOAD AS PDF A flare-up in tensions between Israel and Iran, persistent uncertainty around the US tariff policy, and foreign capital outflows weighed heavily on the Indian Stock Market Last week. For the week ended June 13, the Nifty 50 declined 1.14 per cent, while the Sensex fell 1.30%. Broader market also declined but they still outperformed. The BSE Midcap index fell 0.90%, while the BSE Small cap fell 0.13%. The Indian equity market witnessed heightened volatility last week, ultimately closing in the red. Early optimism, driven by progress in US–China trade negotiations, was overshadowed by escalating geopolitical tensions after Israel launched a strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. This development sparked a global risk-off sentiment, leading to a rally in safe-haven assets such as gold and US bonds. Let’s take a look at five key factors that will dictate the market trend in the coming week. 1. Israel-Iran News Tensions in the Middle East have been escalating in recent days, raising concerns that the Israel-Iran conflict could intensify and broaden in scope.Washington is moving towards more direct involvement in the Israel-Iran episode as the US military is shooting down Iranian missiles fired at Israel, in response to Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites and military leaders. EvenUK is moving military assets, including jets, to the Middle East for contingency support across the region. 2. US FOMC Meeting The US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which will begin on June 17 and conclude on June 18, will be a key focus area for investors. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May increased at a softer-than-expected pace of 0.1 per cent month-on-month and was 2.4 per cent year-on-year. Core CPI increased 0.1 per cent month-on-month and 2.8 per cent year-onyear, with the market continues to price in two Fed cuts in 2025. The probability of a cut next week is zero, with the next cut expected in October. 3. Crude Oil Prices After a sharp 7 per cent surge in Brent Crude on Friday, investors will also focus on the trajectory of crude oil prices next week.Brent crude oil futures gained $4.87, or 7.02 per cent, to settle at $74.23 a barrel after earlier soaring over 13 per cent to an intraday high of $78.50 Crude oil prices are highly susceptible to further spikes. With Iran being OPEC’s third-largest oil producer, any further intensification of the conflict raises concerns about potential supply disruptions from the critical Middle East region. 4. FPIs’ Movement Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have emerged as the net sellers of Indian equities in the cash segment for the current month. In June so far, they have sold off Indian stocks worth ₹4,812 crore in the cash segment amid geopolitical tensions, stretched domestic market valuations, and the rupee’s weakness. Continuous selling by FPIs will weigh on the Indian stock market, potentially keeping it in the lower orbit. 5. Macro meter In the coming week, several key macroeconomic data, including India’s May WPI Inflation prints and trade balance data on June 16, the eurozone’s consumer price index data for May on June 18 and US initial jobless claims on June 18, will be on investors’ radar. These are all short-term sentiments and indicators which can impact stock market, few of the indicators are already factored in stock market as forecast and the Sensex opened with 500pts upwards today ( 16th June 2025 ) ignoring all these trends because of Strong Internal Economic Indicators. We recommend increase your Lumpsum and SIP and to Stay Invested for Long Term. Successful Investment Strategy requires Regular Reviewing and Choosing Best Funds. Reach us @ 7810079946 for Your Portfolio Review and Best Performing Mutual Funds Weekly Market Pulse Domestic equity markets fell after posting gains in the previous week as key benchmark indices BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 fell 1.30% and 1.14%, respectively. The fall was broad-based as the mid-cap segment and the smallcap segment both closed the week in the red. Domestic equity markets fell amid uncertainty over the U.S.-China trade deal and escalating Middle East tensions. Conflicting tariff signals and potential new U.S. trade terms spooked investors. Losses deepened after Israel struck Iranian nuclear and missile sites, prompting Iran to retaliate with drone attacks. The conflict drove up crude oil prices, pressuring global and Indian equity markets. BSE Realty fell 3.08% as investors booked profits following the RBI’s larger-than-expected rate cut. Consumer price index-based inflation eased to a more than six-year low of 2.82% YoY in May 2025, down from 3.16% in Apr 2025. 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